{"id":22171,"date":"2026-07-31T06:10:19","date_gmt":"2026-07-31T06:10:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptoted.net\/index.php\/2026\/07\/31\/world-cup-prediction-markets-reached-20b\/"},"modified":"2026-07-31T06:10:19","modified_gmt":"2026-07-31T06:10:19","slug":"world-cup-prediction-markets-reached-20b","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptoted.net\/index.php\/2026\/07\/31\/world-cup-prediction-markets-reached-20b\/","title":{"rendered":"World Cup prediction markets reached $20B"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <br \/>\n<br \/><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/media.crypto.news\/2025\/10\/crypto-news-Reimagining-market-neutral-vaults-without-prime-brokers-option01.webp\" \/><\/p>\n<div>\n<p class=\"is-style-lead\">The 2026 FIFA World Cup generated $20 billion in blockchain prediction-market volume from January through the tournament\u2019s end, Chainalysis reported on July 30.\u00a0<\/p>\n<div id=\"cn-block-summary-block_59618af13d291a903cb048786e1ce5ce\" class=\"cn-block-summary\">\n<p>\n        <span class=\"tabs__item is-selected\">Summary<\/span>\n    <\/p>\n<div class=\"cn-block-summary__content\">\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>$20 billion in prediction-market volume accumulated from January through the World Cup\u2019s five-week tournament period.<\/li>\n<li>400,000 wallets generated $5.7 billion during the tournament, representing 63% of prediction-market activity by volume.<\/li>\n<li>$24 million in FIFA Collect trades supported ticket access for more than 100,000 fans worldwide.<\/li>\n<\/ul><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><!-- .cn-block-summary --><\/p>\n<p>The analytics firm <a href=\"https:\/\/www.chainalysis.com\/blog\/2026-world-cup-prediction-markets-nft-tickets\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\">said<\/a> more than 400,000 wallets participated, while $5.7 billion was traded during the five-week event.The report also tracked $24 million in stablecoin-powered trading through FIFA Collect, the football body\u2019s official digital collectibles platform. The data show how betting, collectibles and ticket access converged on public blockchain infrastructure during the tournament.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-x wp-block-embed-x\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Forget meme coins. The World Cup drove $20B through blockchain prediction markets. Over 400,000 wallets placed bets. Only 1% had ties to illicit actors. This is the new standard for sports betting. <a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/czS8ABXkme\">pic.twitter.com\/czS8ABXkme<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 KhaiDao (@Khaikhaidao) <a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/Khaikhaidao\/status\/2082999741546426590?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">July 31, 2026<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<p>    <!-- .cn-block-related-link --><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>World Cup prediction markets dominated onchain activity<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>World Cup-related markets accounted for about 63% of all prediction-market volume during the competition. Daily activity began near $50 million in January, exceeded $100 million during busy pre-tournament periods and moved toward $250 million after matches began on June 11.<\/p>\n<p>Volume topped $300 million on the final, when Spain defeated Argentina, Chainalysis said. The $20 billion total covers trading from January, including qualifying and pre-tournament markets. It should not be read as betting conducted only during the tournament.<\/p>\n<p>The figures fit a broader expansion in event contracts. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.binance.com\/en\/research\/analysis\/half-year-2026-onchain-markets\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\">Binance Research<\/a> separately reported that monthly prediction-market notional volume rose 86% from January to $51.6 billion in June. It said Kalshi and Polymarket represented 92% of June\u2019s total, although its market-wide measurement differs from Chainalysis\u2019 World Cup-specific dataset.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>U.S. and China led globally attributed volume<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Chainalysis attributed the most activity to the U.S. and China, followed by Canada, Thailand and the United Kingdom. Participation came from every continent except Antarctica.<\/p>\n<p>However, the firm cautioned that its proprietary geolocation method <strong>\u201cmay carry uncertainty\u201d<\/strong> when VPNs, mixers or privacy tools obscure wallet locations. The rankings therefore represent Chainalysis\u2019 attribution, not verified residence data for every participant.<\/p>\n<p>However, <a href=\"https:\/\/crypto.news\/world-cup-betting-frenzy-could-lift-robinhood-prediction-market-revenue-bernstein\/\" target=\"_blank\">World Cup demand pushed daily<\/a> prediction-market volume sharply higher during June. In addition, <a href=\"https:\/\/crypto.news\/kalshi-lands-fifa-world-cup-spotlight-through-adi-predictstreet-deal\/\" target=\"_blank\">Kalshi gained tournament <\/a>exposure through ADI Predictstreet, FIFA\u2019s official prediction-market partner.<\/p>\n<p>Chainalysis identified about 3,700 participating wallets with traceable illicit interaction histories, representing less than 1% of the total. It reported at least $5.4 million flowing from Huobi or HTX into wallets that later used World Cup markets. Scam-linked wallets accounted for about $2 million, while stolen-fund exposure exceeded $800,000.<\/p>\n<p>The U.K. designated Huobi Global on May 26 under its Russia sanctions regime and clarified that HTX falls within those restrictions through ownership. The European Union later added HTX to a transaction-ban list, with the measure scheduled to apply from August 23.<\/p>\n<p>These findings measure earlier wallet interactions and fund flows. They do not prove that each flagged wallet committed an offense through its World Cup trades.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>FIFA Collect connected digital assets with tickets<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>FIFA Collect let users trade digital collectibles and obtain rights connected to match tickets. FIFA says more than 100,000 fans gained stadium access through its Right-to-Ticket products. Chainalysis traced $24 million in payments to a key FIFA Collect smart-contract wallet from May 2025 through the tournament.<\/p>\n<p>The firm estimated that FIFA received at least $6 million from secondary transactions after applying the platform\u2019s 5% share. It found negligible direct illicit exposure among FIFA Collect users, which \u201cmay be a result of FIFA\u2019s robust KYC practices,\u201d according to Chainalysis. That explanation is an assessment, not a controlled test.<\/p>\n<p>As crypto.news <a href=\"https:\/\/crypto.news\/fifa-to-migrate-to-its-own-evm-compatible-blockchain-for-fifa-connect\/\" target=\"_blank\">reported<\/a>, FIFA moved its collectibles platform to a purpose-built, Avalanche-based blockchain in 2025. The next test is whether ticket-linked collectibles and prediction-market users remain active after the World Cup. Regulators and platforms will also face pressure to strengthen sanctions screening, market surveillance and settlement controls as event-contract volumes expand.<\/p>\n<p>    <!-- .cn-block-related-link --><\/p><\/div>\n<p><script async src=\"\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><br \/>\n<br \/><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/crypto.news\/world-cup-prediction-markets-reached-20b\/\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The 2026 FIFA World Cup generated $20 billion in blockchain prediction-market volume from January through the tournament\u2019s end, Chainalysis reported on July 30.\u00a0 Summary $20 billion in prediction-market volume accumulated from January through the World Cup\u2019s five-week tournament period. 400,000 wallets generated $5.7 billion during the tournament, representing 63% of prediction-market activity by volume. $24 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":22172,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"tdm_status":"","tdm_grid_status":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[23],"tags":[],"kronos_expire_date":[],"class_list":["post-22171","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-crypto"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cryptoted.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22171","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cryptoted.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cryptoted.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cryptoted.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cryptoted.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=22171"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/cryptoted.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22171\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cryptoted.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/22172"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cryptoted.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=22171"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cryptoted.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=22171"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cryptoted.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=22171"},{"taxonomy":"kronos_expire_date","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cryptoted.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/kronos_expire_date?post=22171"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}